26.33 Probability of data, given the null hypothesis

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  • Idealized probability distribution for the data, given the null hypothesis
  • The p-value is the area under the tails of the confidence inverval given then probability distribution for the data and the given the null hypothesis.
  • A small p-value casts doubt on the null hypothesis
  • Accepting or rejecting the null hypothesis means choosing a cutoff for the p-value.
    • In practice, \(p <0.05\) is usually termed a significant difference.